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The Global CEO's Economic Intelligence Report
(Free Sample Online Edition)
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USA Economic Intelligence
This
section provides a quarterly 360 degree view of the US economy
to help CEOs, their boards and investors with their quarterly strategic planning review. The
purpose of this report is not to provide real-time news but to
summarize key events and reveal quarterly trends, emerging risks and
opportunities. To subscribe to the latest reports, please visit the
Subscription page.
USA Economic News Briefing > Q3 / 2009
- Insolvencies and higher unemployment would weigh on economic
performance
- Experts says the recession is likely to be W-shaped; another
downturn is likely in the autumn
- President Obama to renew Ben Bernanke as Fed chairman;
- The Fed's and the ECB's relative monetary policy stances
will determine the future of the dollar as the global reserve
currency
- There is a global dollar glut, which will be weigh down on the
dollar's exchange rate in the long run.
- Worries about a strong inflation after the crisis
- The Fed outlines four-point exit strategy; Not many people believe
it
- Questions arise if financial markets are fooled by the bad
bank and accounting trick to improve bank assets valuation
- Moody's says bad bank scheme will not change credit ratings
- Interest-only mortgage could become the next critical issue
facing the US housing market
- US consumer credit has been declining at record rates in
July
- IMF warns about US failure to take back stimulus in time
- A new measure of Total Factor Productivity suggests that
potential growth may not have fallen in the US during this
recession
- Moody's says US banks have made insufficient loan
provisions, as crisis will take a worse toll than expected
- Jeff Frankel says all US labor market indicators suggests
that crisis is not over
- A bad US jobs data report sends Wall Street down 3%, and serves as a
reminder that the real economic crisis is only just beginning
- The situation is deteriorating again, and that deflation is
now a very real prospect
- There are no green shoots yet in the US car sector
- Lack of trust and transparency of the US banks stress tests
- US suggests house prices are falling, but not as fast as
before
- Inflation perception is a big problem, and the US should
make it clear that it would not allow inflation to rise
- US is at risk if emerging countries reduce their foreign
reserves
- Risk aversion among investors is on the rise again, as stock
and commodity indexes fall
- US & EU regulatory reforms are insufficient
- Warnings that policy makers should not repeat the mistakes
of 1937, and exit too early
- Obama gives the Fed's powers over too-large-to-fail
institutions; Proposals for derivatives are more modest
- Calls for more regulations of the too-large-to-fail
financial institutions
- Global demand for US government securities is falling
- Dollar's global share as a reserve currency is falling
slowly
- US credit card companies are negotiating generous
settlements with their customers. The Fed's beige book is
cautious about green shoots
- Concern about the effect of the rise in US bond yields on
the recovery
- US trend output might fall
- The Fed says it has no idea about why bond yields are going
up
Global
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Asia Pacific
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